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April 27, 2006

Violence destabilizing 8 Iraqi provinces

The official line is that the civil war in Iraq is confined to only (sic) 4 of Iraq's 18 provinces. A recent report from the Government Accountability Office concludes that the violence is widespread in 8 provinces:

WASHINGTON, (UPI) -- Eight of Iraq's 18 provinces are dangerously unstable and violent, not just the four usually cited.

A Government Accountability Office report, based on recent State Department and U.S. military assessments in Iraq, suggests the country is on a downward slope. Insurgent attacks increased 23 percent between 2004 and 2005, and oil, electricity and water services are all below pre-invasion levels.

The assertion by the U.S. military and the Bush administration that Iraq's problems are limited to four provinces can be traced back to then-Prime Minister Ayad Allawi, who put forth that argument in a press conference with President Bush in September 2004. [UPI]

Via Juan Cole.


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Also a better measure would be x provinces containing Y% of the population of iraq.

Big deal. It's still less than half!

Haven't you learned anything from the red state/blue state divide? All that matters is surface area.

My guess is those 8 provinces don't have alot of surface area.

It's a war! It is almost impossible to contain a war in one area unless the area in question is surrounded by water.

The UPI article actually lists 7 in "serious" or "critical" condition.

They are Baghdad, Anbar, Diyala, Tamim, Ninevah, Salah ad Din, and Basra. So that's a huge swath, both in terms of area and population.

It's a war!

The war's over, this is the occupation.

Reconstruction is what our troops should be fighting for (if they must be there), destabilisation the condition for defeat.

Baghdad is unstable? The administrative heart for the occupation army is an unstable area? How many weeks have we been in iraq now?

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